The US Mints issued $2.50 U.S. gold Liberty Head coins from 1840 until 1907 with some high mintage figures for certain dates and mints. Of course there’s many low mintages years and mints, and it seems there’s still an abundance of the Liberty Quarter Eagle on the market, but this is a misnomer. There’s an abundance available but only the most common dates and mints.
In modern times, mintage figures tend to not mean as much, pertaining to value, as they once did. As time goes by, and more and more examples are traded, graded, a certain numeric figure is being better calculated, and that’s the survival amount of each date and mint.
We know now, more than ever, that mintages are just a number that’s in the US Mint reports for each year and mint. In addition, gold coins were recalled in 1933, and many where melted over the years, while others were lost to antiquity or still remain buried from a past hoarder. So now we must learn their survival rates and PCGS, among others, are reporting some surprising results, and the Liberty Quarter Eagle stands out as one example.
Here’s the dates with low survival rates as reported by PCGS: 1840 (about 100 known), 1840-D (under 100 known), 1841 (12-13 known), 1842 (50-60 known), 1842-D (under 100 known), 1843-C (70-80 known), 1844 (under 100 known), 1845-O (80-100 known), 1853-D (under 100 known), 1854-D (70-90 known), 1854-S (11-12 known), 1855-D (50-60 known), 1856-D (45-55 known) and those are just half of the dates and mints, for more visit this page PCGS
As you can see the survival rate for several dates and mints is super low, and not all of them are reflecting this fact in their current values. So this is a great time for the opportunity to buy rarities before their, potentially higher, future costs comes into play.
To put it in perspective, if the U.S. Mint issued a modern coin with a mintage of 100 or less, it’s a fact that the value would soar into the thousands. In addition, what do you think will happen to these Liberty Quarter Eagle dates and mints with a low survival rate when more and more people learn about these figures?
I think it’s easy to realize that the values could become unreachable to most collectors, and who knows how long this will take, ten years, twenty years? I think it will be less than twenty years and might be even less than ten. Gold isn’t going to sit below $2,000 for ever and that will be another catalyst for a rise in value.
The key grade here is VF20-30 or less, since EF40 and up are already realizing higher premiums than ever before, and that despite their gold melt value. Furthermore, I wouldn’t even pass up a damaged, cleaned or holed example, of any of these dates and mints, because this will be the area where collectors turn when they can no longer afford coins in better condition.
I could be wrong and the survival rates won’t matter much in the scheme of things, but I just can’t see coins with 100 or less example known remaining affordable in the forseeable future.
What do you think? We would love to hear your comments on this subject.
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